This pick was released to clients on July 30, 2012 at 6:00PM ET.
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Pittsburgh at Philadelphia

August 25, 2006
img8:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Philadelphia is off two pretty bad performances sandwiched between one good one. They scored 10 points vs. Oakland in their opener, beat Cleveland 20-7 the next week, and lost 10-20 to Baltimore last week. They are averaging just 13.3 points per game and they are sitting at 33%. No big surprise there as Andy Reid is a coach who doesn't value winning in the preseason (9-17 coming into this game). Pittsburgh has put up two stinkers as well. They lost to Arizona 13-21 in week one and to Minnesota 10-17 last week. They are 0-2 avergaging just 11.5 points per game. As a result of four lackluster offensive outings for both of these teams, we see the total set here at 35. I love the OVER in this one and I think Pittsburgh wins. This is week 3 of the preseason in which we see starters play the most of any preseason game. Is Pittsburgh's offense this bad? No way! The starters know this is their final warm up for the regular season. Both of these teams have losing records and haven't put forth anything offensively to be proud of. They both scored just 10 points last week. They want to perform here so they can relax next week. Pittsburgh has a good defense but Philadelphia really does not. Pittsburgh's offense under Ben Roethlisberger, lest us not forget, is awesome. He's played just two series so far total. With him getting more playing time here, I expect Pittsburgh to score. They need this game (being 0-2) more than does Philly. Small underdogs struggling offensively hit at a crazy 90%+ rate in the NFL preseason and 0-2 teams also do well. Go OVER the 35 and Pitt + the field goal.

2 units on Pittsburgh +3 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
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