Pittsburgh at New Orleans

Talented Pittsburgh has been an underdog four times this season...and won all four. That included last week, a 17-10 win over the Patriots as the ground game busted out for 158 yards. Pittsburgh is on a 79-54 ATS run as an underdog. They are capable of beating anyone, anywhere, 19-6-2 ATS on the road versus a team with a winning home record. The Steelers are on a 7-4 run UNDER the total with a defense that is ninth in yards allowed, sixth against the run. Pittsburgh is also on a 36-15 run UNDER on the road. The Steelers have plenty of motivation, a half-game ahead of the Ravens in the AFC North. They take on a New Orleans team that can also play tough defense, tops in the NFL in rush defense, seventh in points allowed (20.6 pg). New Orleans hasn't allowed more than 17 points in any of its last six games, 12-4 UNDER the total after getting 150+ yards rushing in their previous game. But they are in an offensive slump, averaging 16.7 points the last three contests, and this is a tough matchup.  Winning NFL teams like the Steelers off a win as a home underdog are 174-104 ATS. Look for a close, low scoring tilt between two of the best teams in each conference. Play Pittsburgh and the UNDER.