Pittsburgh at Miami

The injury list for these teams are substantial, but there aren't any very critical players on the list, so just a challenge of quality depth for both. Pittsburgh had a bad game vs. instate rival Philadelphia, scoring just three points. Otherwise, they have been 4-0, winning by a combined 77 points. Miami has had a tough schedule, with games vs. Cincinnati, New England, and Seattle. They lost on the road to Seattle by just two, and on the road to New England by just seven. They are now home and the line certainly looks like it is juiced for the Steelers with anticipation they will get a lot of action. The solution for Miami is simple, they have been a turnover machine, coughing the ball up 11 times in their last four games. That actually works in their favor, as home dogs of 10 or fewer points that have committed more than 10 turnovers in their last four games are 70-49-4 ATS, if they are .250 or less. The Steelers have never had a lot of success as a big road favorite, and there have been a lot of good teams that have failed in this role, in fact, since 1989, Pittsburgh is 2-13 ATS on the road as a favorite of -8 or more. Ryan Tannehill has faced the Steelers one time and put up 34 points in a win. I think Miami comes out focused, and makes this into a game. Grab the points on Miami.