This pick was released to clients on July 30, 2012 at 6:42PM ET.
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Pittsburgh at Los Angeles

October 8, 2006
img8:15 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Pittsburgh's off a national TV game in which they lost and gave up 28 points. So what? That was the Bengals. Prior to that they gave up 17 and 9 points. This defense is still great and you can be sure they are extremely mad at giving up 28 points. They are going to bring their "A" game into this one - be sure of it. And last week we saw that the young Phillip Rivers and the San Diego offense can be shut down by a good defense. What about San Diego's defense? Just the #1 rated defense in the league. Yes, after three games, the Chargers lead the league in yards allowed per game (184), yards per play (3.8) and points per game (7.7). Is it a fluke? I don't think so. Now, I don't expect the Chargers to ranked #1 come season end. But they do have a good defense. And with Pittsburgh's offense struggling right now, and playing in front of a pumped up crowd on Sunday night, I think they hold their own. Without the Bus to get tough yards, and with Ben Roethlisberger just not "right," the Steeler offense has put up just 16 points per game. Against the one solid defense they have faced this year, they were shutout. The Steelers are 9-1 UNDER the past two seasons on the road off a game that went OVER. They are also 26-8 UNDER on the road with Cowher as coach as he reverts back to what he wins with - defense. This game should be very low scoring and I like the UNDER.

4 units on Game Total UNDER 37.5 -110 (risk 4 to return 7.64)
Result:
WIN
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