The Jags suffered a disappointing and unexpected loss last week against the lowly Cowboys. This week they will be ready to atone for that.
The Steelers defense, although improved from their horrible start, still can’t stop anyone on third down. In fact they rank second-to-last in the league in allowing third-down conversions.
Jacksonville is a better red-zone team, both offensively and defensively, which has proven to be a good predictor this year.
The Jags qualify for a 25-4 situation (11-2 the last three years) involving home teams facing teams off a home win as big favorites.
The Steelers haven’t covered the spread since their game against Baltimore five weeks ago and I expect that streak to continue.