Pittsburgh at Baltimore

These are a pair of division rivals that always knock each other silly. They played a 26-23 game back in October, with the visitors winning. Pittsburgh has a winning record, is on a 7-3/5-4-1 ATS run behind a terrific defense that is fourth in yards and points (18.3 per game) allowed, and #10 against the run. They are on a 19-7 run UNDER the total, 39-12 UNDER on the road. Pittsburgh has plenty of incentive, needing to beat the Ravens and hope the Titans lose for the cleanest path to the playoffs. The Steelers are on a 9-4 spread run overall, 33-16-2 ATS on the road against a team with a winning home record. They face a top-seeded Baltimore squad that will be resting multiple starters, including star QB Lamar Jackson. QB Robert Griffin III gets the nod, and he hasn't started an NFL game since 2016. The Ravens defense is third in points (18.1 per game), fourth in rush yards, and fifth in total yards allowed. The UNDER has cashed five straight meetings in this stadium, so back the team that needs the win more in a physical, defensive slugfest. Play Pittsburgh and the UNDER.