Pittsburgh at Baltimore

This has long been a substantial, heated rivalry, and this should be a game the Ravens can handle. The Ravens will be playing with revenge for an 18-16 loss earlier in the season. Pittsburgh is considered the better team defensively, but I think there has been some luck involved when you look at the numbers. The Steelers allow opponents just 5.5 yards per play, while Baltimore allows 5.6. The huge gap in this game is the Baltimore offense, which is generating 7 yards per play, while the Steeler's woeful offense generates just 5.3. I think the numbers more than justify the line in this game, and this time, Baltimore has revenge and is playing at home. Pittsburgh has a lot of key injuries on the injury report. Baltimore owns an 11-2 ATS mark when facing a team that averages 24 or more points per game. Make the play on Baltimore.