This pick was released to clients on July 30, 2012 at 10:42PM ET.
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Philadelphia at Washington

December 10, 2006
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

It's amazing how the public perception changes week to week. Philadelphia was left for dead after McNabb went down and they get killed by the Colts. Then Jeff Garcia comes in and pitches a perfect game on Monday Night and everything is suddenly better. We were on the Eagles in that game but it was more about the situation and their opponent that game than the strength of the Eagles. Washington has been one of the toughest home teams over the past three years. The last 17 games they have played at home they have been in every single game, and have won most of them. Their biggest loss save one OT game has been by 3 points! They lost to San Diego last year by 6 in OT so played them even for 60 minutes. Washington will have a chip on their shoulder this week as well as they haven't forgotten the 27-3 pounding they took at Philadelphia. Last week broke that 17 game streak of Washington's when they lost to Atlanta by 10. It is a game they should have won, as they beat Atlanta every which way possible. They had more first downs 25-16, led in time of possessions, won the punting game 40.8 to 31.2. The game changed with Washington driving deep into Atlanta territory leading 14-10 when they threw an interception. What was going to be 21-10 became 14-17 minutes later. They lost the all important turnover battle 2-0 but this one was worth 14 points, and cost them the game. Philly has not been road warriors, as they have dropped 11 of their last 15 ATS on the road. The Eagles were very up for Monday Night in a must-win game for them. This week the intensity will drop and the truth will rear its head again: Without McNabb, this is an average team at best. Take the Skins where they always bring it - at home.

4 units on Washington +1 (-110) (risk 4 to return 7.64)
Result:
LOSS
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