Philadelphia at San Francisco

You have to ask yourself a couple of questions about this game. First, is Philadelphia really that much better than San Francisco just because the Eagles are 3-0 and the Niners 1-2? Do those records reflect the true strength of these teams? The Niners uncharacteristically have been getting taken behind the woodshed in the second half of their first three games, as they have been outscored after halftime by a resounding and eye-opening 51-3. Little has gone right through three games, and the fact is they could very well be 3-0. The Eagles got a mulligan default win in their opener vs. Jacksonville, but the 34-17 final was after trailing 17-0 at the half. They were down by 7 at Indy into the fourth quarter, and scored the game winner as time expired for a 3-point win. Last week a 102-yard kickoff return was the difference in a 3-point win vs. Washington. The Eagles could very well be 0-3. Neither of these teams have shown any margin for error, but Philly is 3-0 and San Francisco is 1-2. Everything has seemingly gone in favor of Philly and against San Francisco to this point. I think the Niners get their act together this week at home, and they are 9-1 straight-up in their last 10 here after a loss. The margin of error isn't what it was a year ago. At some point luck evens out and I think that this game goes to the home team. The Eagles have struggled recently vs. teams like Philly that complete 64%+ of their passes, having gone 3-10 straight-up vs. such teams the past three seasons. They are also 6-14 straight-up over that same span after an ATS win. Take the Niners on the moneyline. Also take the UNDER in this one. The Eagles' offense has struggled at times this year, scoring just 9.0 points per game in the first half. Then they have exploded in the second half. I don't think they will have such success vs. this Niners defense on the road. San Francisco is a perfect 7-0 UNDER the past two seasons when facing good offensive teams like Philly (teams that average 24+ points per game). The Niners are also 6-1 UNDER in their last seven games vs. winning teams. Take San Fran on the moneyline and the UNDER.