This pick was released to clients on July 30, 2012 at 6:21PM ET.
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Philadelphia at San Francisco

September 24, 2006
img4:15 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

San Francisco was the worst defensive team in the league last season. Against Arizona in week one, they looked like they wanted to lay claim to it again this year as they gave up 34 to Arizona. Last week they held the Rams to 13 points and got a win but I don't think they've really improved that much on defense. I do think they have improved on offenese a bit with Alex Smith having a season under his belt. He's completely 55% of his passes so far and thrown for two touchdowns without an interception. Frank Gore has emerged as a force thus far (307 yards and three TDs). The Niners are averaging 23.5 per game and here's something you probably didn't know: they are leading the league in yards per play at 6.7! The Eagles meanwhile lead the league in yards per game (446) and trail only San Francisco and the Giants in yards per play. Donovan McNabb is on. He's led his team to two straight 24 point performances. He's thrown for 664 yeards and 5 touchdowns in two games and has looked very comfortable and steady. The same can't be said for the Eagles defense. They squandered a 17 point lead last week to lose the game. In that game they lost Pro Bowl defensive end Jevon Kearse who is an integral part of a defense that lives on the blitz. Bottom line here is that we have an improved SF offense with a QB who is avoiding mistakes - an offense that is producing. We have a Philly offense playing very well with something to prove ("we don't need TO"). And, we have one really bad defense (SF) and another that is reeling a bit and just lost a key player. Take the OVER.

3 units on Game Total OVER 42 -110 (risk 3 to return 5.73)
Result:
WIN
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