Philadelphia at New York

Philadelphia can win the NFC East with a victory, but it won't be easy. The Eagles have a losing road record and star TE Zach Ertz is dealing with a broken rib. Philly is on a three-game winning streak, but it has been grueling, squeezing by close games against the Cowboys, Redskins, and these Giants. The Giants took them to overtime three weeks ago when Philadelphia was a nine-point home favorite. The defense is a strength, at top 10 in the NFL in yards allowed, and third against the run, while on an 11-2 run UNDER the total versus pass defenses that allow 235+ yards per contest, plus 25-11 UNDER against teams that surrender 7.5+ yards per passing attempt. NFL favorites like the Eagles with a winning record are 49-89 ATS off an upset win as a home dog, including 29-65 ATS when facing losing teams. The New York Giants are a home dog, but playing well, winning two in a row behind talented young QB Daniel Jones (23 TDs, 11 INTs). The offense has scored 77 points the last two games, and Jones is coming off a brilliant five-TD performance in a 41-35 overtime victory over the Redskins. The Giants are 72-46 ATS against teams that allow 5.65+ yards per play, 35-17 ATS after gaining 175+ yards rushing the last game, plus 54-31 ATS after outrushing their opponent by 75+ yards the previous contest. It will be cold with light rain in New York, so back the home dog in another low scoring rivalry tilt. Play the New York Giants and the UNDER.