This pick was released to clients on September 19, 2024 at 10:02AM ET.
img NFL

Philadelphia at New Orleans

September 22, 2024
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

To me, the New Orleans Saints have the most impressive numbers through two weeks. The New Orleans offense has scored 91 points and has been held without points on just one possession this season. Returning to the final regular season game last year, this team has averaged 46 points per game. This season, Derek Carr has completed 77% of his passes with five TD's and one INT, and has a QB rating 142. These numbers have bettors lining up on the Saints, but the Eagles will take on the challenge at home. The Eagles are 1-1 to start the season, and Jalen Hurts looks like the running QB we have seen, outside of injuries that held him back last year. The Eagles are not shy about winning on the road as they have won 18 road games in the previous three seasons. The only team with more is the Kansas City Chiefs, with 20. While the Saints have played almost perfect football, the Eagles are 1-1 and have yet to deliver a complete "A" game. The Saints will get their points, but I feel like this is an excellent letdown spot for a contrarian play on the Eagles when they finally do bring that "A" game so take the Eagles ATS and also back the OVER.

1 unit on Philadelphia +3 (-120) (risk 1 to return 1.83)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on Game Total OVER 49.5 -105 (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Philadelphia Eagles img
0
0
0
15
15
New Orleans Saints
3
0
0
9
12
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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