This pick was released to clients on January 09, 2019 at 2:56PM ET.
img NFL

Philadelphia at New Orleans

January 13, 2019
img4:40 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Philadelphia has a chance to advance to the NFC Championship game while getting revenge for a humiliating loss at New Orleans in November. The Eagles appeared to be dead in the water following that 48-7 defeat, but they have won six of seven since. That includes Sunday's 16-15 thriller at Chicago when Cody Parkey's 43-yard field goal attempt in the final seconds was tipped and clanked off both posts. Nick Foles was clutch again, completing 25-of-40 for 266 yards although the Eagles survived his two interceptions. Philly went UNDER by 10.5 points after going UNDER by 18.5 points in the regular season finale against Washington. The New Orleans offense hasn't been as prolific later in the season as it was earlier. They averaged only 19 points their last five games and at one point they had a string of five straight UNDERS. Carolina and Dallas has shown how to keep Drew Brees somewhat in check when they held the Saints to 12 and 10 points, respectively. Obviously, the Eagles' defense will make some adjustments from its first meeting with the Saints. The UNDER is 6-2-1 in Philly's last nine January games and it's 11-5-1 UNDER its last 17 playoff games overall. The Saints have stayed UNDER in five of their last six versus NFC teams. New Orleans covered just one of their last five regular season games and the Eagles have covered seven of their last nine playoff road games. This is an excellent opportunity for an outright upset and there are three winning ways to go in this matchup: take the Eagles to cover, to win straight-up and also play the UNDER.

2 units on Philadelphia +8 (-108) (risk 2 to return 3.85)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Philadelphia +320 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 4.2)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 50.5 -104 (risk 1 to return 1.96)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Philadelphia Eagles
14
0
0
0
14
New Orleans Saints img
0
10
7
3
20
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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