Philadelphia at Houston

This game appears to be a mismatch, but there is good value in playing the UNDER as Philadelphia is #3 in the NFL in total yards allowed (298.1 per game) and #4 in scoring defense (16.9 ppg). Houston is second-to-last in yards gained (288.7) while averaging just 16.6 points. The Texans lost 17-10 to Tennessee and it went UNDER by 12.5 points and would have been more if Houston hadn't scored in garbage time in the final minute of the game. The Texans had only 43 net rushing yards and Davis Mills was 17 of 29 for 152 yards with an interception. The Eagles haven't allowed more than 21 points in any of their past six games and they are 57-24 UNDER their past 81 games after scoring at least 30 points their previous game. Philly is also on a run of 16-5 UNDER in their past 21 November games. Houston has stayed UNDER 10 of its past 14 games against teams with winning records. Play the UNDER.