Philadelphia at Green Bay

I'm surprised to see this total so high with Aaron Rodgers out for Green Bay. Seneca Wallace managed just 17 points for the Packers last week. And, the pair of TDs scored by Green Bay were both on long runs, something not likely to occur again. The Packers did score 20 points in that game, but consider this - it was the lowest point total allowed by Chicago all season! If that isn't enough how about this? In any non-week 17 (i.e. often meaningless) game, the Packers have not scored fewer points at home since scoring 17 at home against Dallas on November 15, 2009 - or four years ago. The reality is that the Packers are Aaron Rodgers. Without him this offense is mediocre at best. The Eagles have not allowed more than 21 points in each of their last five games, allowing just 18.6 per game over that stretch. This game may look like a high-scoring game, but I expect it to go UNDER the total.