Philadelphia at Cleveland

Cleveland has played down to its competition for most of the season, and the Browns get a 3-5-1 opponent this week in the Eagles, who are in playoff contention only because they play in the loathsome NFC East. Philadelphia lost to the lowly Giants on Sunday while failing to convert any of their nine third downs, and Carson Wentz had another average game completing 21 of 37 for 208 yards and no touchdowns. Cleveland's defense gets the credit for the 10-7 win over the Texans, who were held to 243 total yards. The Browns racked up 231 yards on the ground, including Nick Chubb's 126 and 104 from Kareem Hunt. Philadelphia's defense is #26 in rushing yards allowed, and the Browns are #4 in rushing offense. Baker Mayfield has not exactly been outstanding, but he's doing enough to keep his team in the game and allowing his defense to control it. The Eagles haven't beaten a decent team all year. Play the Browns on the moneyline.