This pick was released to clients on August 13, 2012 at 10:38PM ET.
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Philadelphia at Buffalo

September 28, 2003
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Drew Bledsoe had a bad game last week. I don’t expect that to happen again. Buffalo has a lot to play for in an effort to keep up with the Joneses (Miami and New England) in the tough AFC East. Philadelphia reminds me of the 2002 St. Louis Rams – a Super Bowl contender that has gone down hill – Fast. The Eagles have scored just 10 points in two games. They are out of synch (is Duce’s holdout holding them back?!?). Their once great defense is giving up 24 per and is 27th in the league in pass D. Not a good recipe against a motivated Drew Bledsoe. Meanwhile, Buffalo’s defense is 8th in the league and looks to be for real with the addition of Takeo Spikes and Lawyer Milloy. My Matchup Power Ratings indicate that Buffalo should be a much bigger favorite. Despite the fact that Philly wants this one bad, I don’t think they have what it takes to get it done against a Buffalo team that wants it just as much.
**Money-Line Play? No. Play all dogs money line except those at exactly +3

4 units on Buffalo -3 (-110) (risk 4 to return 7.64)
Result:
LOSS
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