New York at Tennessee

This is a low NFL total and beautiful weather is in the forecast for Sunday in Nashville. The New York Jets can go with the hot hand, as QB Sam Darnold is back at practice while QB Josh McCown is an above-average veteran signal caller. They face a Tennessee Titans defense that took a lot of bows after dominating the Patriots, but since then the defense has been shredded the last two games, allowing 38 and 34 points. Tennessee is home after that dismal two-game trip and the Titans are 38-18-3 OVER the total at home against a team with a losing road record. An NFL team like the Jets that just allowed over 400 total yards is 43-21 OVER the total when facing an opponent that allowed 450+ yards in their previous game. And Tennessee is 39-20 OVER the total at home when the total is between 38.5 and 42 points. Take this one to finish OVER.