New York at New England

This one is an AFC East rivalry game, yet the Patriots are a 23-point favorite! NFL favorites of 20 points or more are 11-22-2 against the spread. The rebuilding Jets have talent on defense, allowing 20 points per game with a solid defensive line that is #12 against the run. They always give it their all against the Patriots, losing a 27-13 game last season, and two years ago they lost 26-6 and 24-17 in competitive contests. New England comes off a revenge game at Miami and rolled, 43-0, with QB Tom Brady admitting that coach Bill Belichick wanted them to play 60 full minutes after losing at Miami in 2018 on the final play. And NFL teams off two straight wins by 21+ points are 15-39 ATS when facing a team that scored three or fewer points in the first half the previous game. Take the points and play the NY Jets.