New York at New England

The Patriots have been an offensive force throughout the Brady/Belichick era, but things don't look like they will come as easy this season. Over the last two seasons, the Pats scored fewer than 24 points just seven times in 32 tries (22%). They couldn't reach the 24-point mark in week one this season as the offensive weapons available to Brady last year are gone or injured. Aaron Hernandez is gone for good, as is Wes Welker. Rob Gronkowski and Danny Amendola are out of the lineup this week. Amendola was responsible for 104 of Brady's 288 yards last week. Despite Amendola picking up some of the slack, Brady was only able to net 5.5 yards per attempt. Shane Vareen carried the work load on the ground, gaining 101 yards on 14 attempts and also caught seven passes for 58 yards. That pair was responsible for 61% of the Pats' total yards in game one. This was all against a mediocre Bills defense. The Jets had no offense a year ago, and although Geno Smith may be an upgrade at QB, the Jets' offense found the end zone just once last week, generating 304 yards. New York has a solid defense and they are facing a New England offense that is much less scary than years past. I just don't see enough weapons on the field to get this one over the top. Make the play on the UNDER.