New York at New England

It's the fifth road trip in nine games for New York as they come off of a bye. They've been competitive with defense as QB Zach Wilson has more interceptions (5) than TD passes (4). They've won five of six but the lone loss was at home to these Patriots, who really out-coached and out-schemed them that day. Wilson threw 3 interceptions and New England had the edge in rushing yards 127-51 as the Pats rallied from a 10-3 early deficit to outscore the Jets 19-0 before allowing a late garbage-time TD. The Jets have lost 13 of their last 15 against the AFC East. They come off a win over Buffalo but winning NFL teams off an upset win over a division rival as a home dog are 37-87 ATS. New England often starts slow until Bill Belichick maneuvers the best pieces in place and the Patriots are on a 4-2 SU, 5-1 ATS run. The defense is 12th in total yards allowed, sixth in points surrendered (18.4 pg), and 13th on third down. The Patriots are 60-33 ATS as home chalk of 7 points or fewer, 53-33 ATS after a victory by 21+ points, and 141-108 ATS in the second half of the season. Play New England.