New York at Miami

New York continues to struggle after blowing another lead and losing 26-21 to Seattle, which outscored the Jets 10-0 in the second half last week. However, Miami isn't playing well enough to lay this many points as the Dolphins are only 5-7 ATS this season, and they come off a 30-17 loss to Green Bay that wasn't as close as the score indicated. Tua Tagovailoa finished 37 of 46 for 365 yards and two TDs, but it was mostly to catch up after falling behind early against the Packers, who totaled 388 yards of offense. Aaron Rodgers threw for 185 yards against the Seahawks, who only outgained the Jets by a yard. Miami has gone OVER four straight as a home favorite and is 4-0 OVER after allowing more than 250 yards passing its previous game. New York will keep this one close as it has the past two games against the Seahawks and the Colts. Take the Jets and the OVER.