img NFL

New York at Las Vegas

October 19, 2008
img4:15 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Ever play the shell game? If you have, you understand that things aren't always as they seem on the surface. What we have here is a 3-2 team vs. a 1-4 team. But are the teams that different? Oakland is a much better team than their 1-4 record indicates. Let's look at the last four weeks. They beat the Chiefs by 15 on the road. They lead the Bills by 9 with six minutes to go, but imploded at the finish to lose by 1 point. They led the Chargers by 15 points in the 4th quarter, but ended up losing. Yes, Oakland seems to find ways to lose, but they are not that bad of a team at the core. In contrast, the Jets may not be as good as advertised. Arizona handed them a win and they got blown out on the road at San Diego. They also got a game-saver late against Miami who was driving with seconds to go for the winning score, only to see Pennington intercepted inside the red-zone. The Jets have no running game at all and sooner or later Brett Favre is going to give a game away (six INTs already). Oakland has been on the brink of a couple wins, and could easily be 3-2 instead of 1-4. The Jets could easily be 1-4 instead of 3-2. I think the Raiders, at home, catch the Jets.

4 units on Las Vegas +3.5 (-110) (risk 4 to return 4)
Result:
WIN
1
2
3
4
O
T
New York Jets
3
0
0
10
0
13
Las Vegas Raiders
3
0
7
3
3
16
odds odds
 
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