New York at Jacksonville

The N.Y. Jets took it on the chin last week to the best team in the AFC, losing 33-0 to the defending champs. Young QB Sam Darnold was awful, but he's not as bad as Bill Belichick's schemes made him look. The previous week he helped engineer the impressive upset of the Cowboys, 24-22. The Jets are on a 5-1 run OVER the total against losing teams. In addition, NFL favorites like Jacksonville of 3.5 to 10 points that average 370+ yards per game are 56-100 ATS when facing a defense that allows 335 to 370 yards per contest. Jacksonville has a Top 10 offense in yards (378.4 pg), but the defense is no longer elite ranked #18 in yards allowed, #17 in passing yards. The Jaguars have a losing record and just traded their best cornerback, so look for a close one in a high scoring tilt. Play the NY Jets and OVER.