New York at Houston

It has become fairly clear that with the labor dispute has affected offenses. With so many personnel changes, many have not found their rhythm yet. Nine games so far in week one featured at least one team scoring 7 or fewer points the entire game. If this holds, it gives a definite advantage to the Jets here. Houston is all about offense, with very little defense. The Jets have a better defense, and they have more depth on the defensive side. They also pride themselves as a team on defense. It's in their DNA. So, even though this is only a preseason game, you can bet the Jets defense will take pride in doing a good job. Taking what we have seen so far from week one, that side of the ball is controlling the line of scrimmage. When you factor in the numerous blitz schemes that Rex Ryan employs, it just adds to the edge that the Jets have in this one. There is also the factor of the Texans stripping down and rebuilding their entire defense, under Wade Phillips. This includes switching to a 3-4 front. That should be cause for some errors on which the Jets can capitalize. New York is 14-1 ATS in their last 15 preseason games with a total set at 35 or less. They are also 13-4 ATS in their last 17 preseason games as a road dog of 3 or less. Meanwhile, Houston has dropped seven straight against the number as a home favorite of 3 points or less. I like the dog with a situational edge on both sides of the ball. Play the J-E-T-S in this one.