New York at Detroit

Many feel the Jets will come out breathing fire in this one after getting shut out last week, and take out their frustrations on the Lions. I am sure New York will score here, but I am not sure they will stop Detroit from doing the same. Don't look now, but the Detroit Lions’ young offense is beginning to gel, averaging 31.8 points per game over their last four games. They have scored 20+ in five of their last six games and are averaging 38 points per game at home. The Jets’ defense is certainly good, but it's not performing the way it did last year, especially defending the pass. The problem for New York is that Detroit isn't a running team, but passes for over 250 yards per game - right into the vulnerability of the Jets’ defense - and Calvin Johnson has proven to be an unstoppable beast this season. The Lions have now gone 5-0 ATS in their last five games vs. teams with a winning record and they can score enough here to be in this one all the way. I like Detroit plus the points. I also like the OVER. With the Lions offense clicking at 32 poitns per game over their last four, they should score. The Jets’ offense has struggled, but should get somewhat healthy vs. a Lions’ defense that has allowed 20+ in 19 of their last 23 games. The Lions have played to a 15-5-1 mark to the OVER in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Jets, which has the look of an UNDER team, has actually played four straight OVERS on the road, and are now 12-3-1 to the UNDER after allowing less than 90 yards on the ground in their previous game. The Jets rush for 153 yards per game and the Lions have allowed 130 rushing yards per game this season. Why is that imporant? The last 30 times the Jets have rushed for 125+ yards, the OVER has gone 21-9. I like Detroit and the OVER here.