It will be cold and windy (14 MPH winds) in Buffalo for Sunday's AFC East rivalry. New York has scored 18 total points in the last two games behind backup QB Zach Wilson (5 TDs, 6 INTs). The offense is 29th in total yards, 30th in points (16 per game), and dead last on third down (25%). The defense is sixth in yards given up and seventh in points allowed (19.1 per game). The Jets are on an 18-8 run UNDER the total, including 13-5 UNDER versus the AFC East. Buffalo just fired offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey after losing to Denver, 24-22. They're 7-2 UNDER the total with a defense that is fifth in points given up (18.4 per game). The Bills are on a 19-9 run UNDER and are 8-1 UNDER at home versus losing teams. These rivals played a 22-16 game when they met in September and had a 20-12 game when they met late last season in the Buffalo cold. Take New York/Buffalo UNDER the total as a Max Play.
This pick was released to clients on November 17, 2023 at 10:45AM ET.
NFL
New York at Buffalo
November 19, 2023
4:25 PM Eastern
2 units on Game Total UNDER 40.5 -120 (risk 2 to return 3.67)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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