New York at Buffalo

Not many predicted the Bills would be tied with New England at 5-2 in the AFC East as we hit the halfway mark in the NFL season. I also doubt that anyone would haven taken the bet that at this point of the season the Bills’ offense would be averaging more points than the Patriots. The Bills are putting up 30.1 points per game and Ryan Fitzpatrick has quickly blossomed to a very good QB, having already thrown for 14 TD passes on the season. Meanwhile Fred Jackson has given balance to the attack by rushing for 721 yards already through seven games at 5.5 yards per carry. The next improbability at the onset of the season would be that the Bills are actually allowing fewer points per game than the New York Jets. While the Jets probably have the better defense in this one, it is points in this league that matter and the Bills have been slightly better at keeping the opponent out of the end zone. Mark Sanchez has made some progress, but he's inconsistent and with an 83.0 QB rating he is still far from being considered a good QB. It is hard for most to let go of the fact that the Bills are improving and their record is not fraudulent, but the oddsmakers are saying the Jets are the better team, considering a 3-point home advantage. I humbly disagree. The Jets have dropped four straight contests on the road, and the Bills have grabbed the money as a short home favorite of -3 or less in nine of their last 11 tries. New York's defense has allowed 33 points per game away from home this season. We have the better team playing at home. Take Buffalo.