New York at Washington

These division rivals played a 20-20 tie two weeks ago. New York has a winning record, including on the road, looking to bounce back after a 48-22 loss to Philadelphia. QBs Daniel Jones and Tyrod Taylor have combined for 13 TDs and 5 INTs, while the ground attack averages 4.7 yards per carry and is sixth in yards rushing per contest. The Giants are 12-3 ATS off a home loss by 21+ points. Washington is 40-60 ATS at home versus the NFC East. Washington's offense is 24th in the league in points (19.5 pg), plus 27th in yards per rush (4.0) and on third down (35.59%). Washington is 70-104 ATS in the role of favorite, 46-75 ATS as home chalk, and 16-30 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points. Play New York. Also take the UNDER. The Giants are an incredible 30-13 UNDER the past three seasons including 10-2 UNDER following a big 14+ point loss. Meanwhile under Ron Rivera, Washington is 28-17 UNDER including a perfect 9-0 UNDER following back-to-back wins. The Commanders are averaging just 18.7 points per game at home this season and 17.5 per game in division matchups, while allowing just 14.3 per game over their last three. Over the past three seasons, New York is 20-9 UNDER when facing good passing teams like Washington (those that complete over 60% of pass attempts). Washington is 13-4 UNDER in the same situational spot. They are also 10-2 UNDER dating back to last year when facing a defense that allows 350+ yards per game. Back the dog and the UNDER as a Max Play here.