This is a great spot for the 0-3 Giants. They finally got the offense going last week, scoring 24 points against Philadelphia. The Giants made the playoffs last season, so they are not short on talent, and are 33-16-3 ATS in October games. New York is also 52-33 ATS away off a division game, plus 32-16 ATS away after gaining six or more yards per play in their previous game. Tampa Bay is dealing with a lot of injuries on defense. QB Jameis Winston has as many TDs as picks (three) and the ground game has been terrible at #26 in rushing yards per contest. The defense is hurting up front and is ranked #30 in yards allowed, and #31 in passing while allowing 329.5 yards in the air per game. The Bucs are without linebackers Lavonte David and Kwon Alexander, so rookie Kendell Beckwith is stepping in. The Bucs come off a 34-17 loss to the Vikings, playing without three starters -- defensive tackle Chris Baker, Alexander and cornerback Brent Grimes. During the game, defensive tackle Gerald McCoy, David, cornerback Vernon Hargreaves and defensive end Noah Spence all left with injuries with Spence separating his right shoulder, so it's uncertain which players may be available against the Giants. Tampa Bay is on a 22-45-1 ATS run at home, including 11-24 ATS at home against a team with a losing road record. Take the points and play the NY Giants.
This pick was released to clients on September 29, 2023 at 11:34AM ET.
NFL
New York at Tampa Bay
October 1, 2017
4:05 PM Eastern
1.5 units on New York +3 (-105) (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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