This pick was released to clients on December 19, 2014 at 10:30AM ET.
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New York at St. Louis

December 21, 2014
img4:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The St. Louis Rams were the talk of the NFL world 10 days ago as a young team with a ton of talent was off back-to-back wins of 76-0. The betting public was all over them against Arizona, but a funny thing happened. They not only failed to cover, they couldn't even win, losing 12-6 at home. St. Louis is still a last place team with a losing record. The problems run even deeper with an offense ranked #26 in the NFL in passing and #21 in rushing. The Rams have been hurt by injuries on their offensive line. Tackle Jake Long is out for the year with a knee injury. Left guard Rodger Saffold is at less than full strength with a nagging shoulder injury that will require offseason surgery. Injury-prone center Scott Wells is wearing a brace covering his left arm while right guard Davin Joseph is a journeyman. The line problems will be an issue against a resurgent Giants' pass rush that has produced 22 sacks in the last three weeks for a total of 41 - fourth-best in the NFL. The Rams are 4-9 ATS at home against a team with a losing road record. The Giants' offense is #13 in the NFL in passing with an outstanding duo of QB Eli Manning and rookie WR Odell Beckham. Beckham caught 12 passes for 143 yards from Manning last Sunday with his first three-touchdown effort in a 24-13 home win over Washington. The Giants are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 6-0 ATS against the Rams. The Giants have outscored their last three opponents by an average of 28-15. Under Tom Coughlin, New York is 30-16 ATS off a home win and 19-5 ATS on the road following back-to-back ATS wins. Play on the NY Giants.

1.5 units on New York +6.5 (-110) (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
New York Giants img
10
10
14
3
37
St. Louis Rams
3
10
7
7
27
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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