New York at Seattle

The Seattle Seahawks are one win shy of matching last year's win total as we reach the halfway point of the NFL season. When you consider the fact that this team only beat St. Louis twice, San Francisco, Detroit and Jacksonville last year, they have come a long way at 4-3 this season. They own wins against Chicago (a winning team) and San Diego (a team that should be winning). Speaking of San Diego, this Seattle team shares something with the Chargers - they are bad on the road but very good at home. This season at home, the Seahawks have gone 3-0, winning on average 27-12. Prior to Matt Hasselbeck being declared out of this game, I absolutely loved the Seahawks here and would have very likely made this my Game of the Year. With him out, I have to curb my enthusiasm. I still believe the Seahawks are the right side here, even with Charlie Whitehurst under center. He isn't as good as Hasselbeck but the truth is, this team hasn't been winning based on Hasselbeck's play. He has more INTs than TD passes and just a 70.8 QB rating with just 6 yards per attempt. The Seattle bend-but-don't-break defense has allowed exactly 20 points per game, so getting a TD here at home is valuable. The Giants have won four straight, but they beat the Lions at home by just 8 points. And, they beat Dallas who can't get out of their own way by just 6. The G-Men stand at just 2-6 ATS in their last eight as a favorite of -3.5-10 points and they have dropped their last four on the road vs. a team with a winning home record. The Seahawks are stepping-up at home vs. teams with a winning road record at 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12. This one is closer than it looks.