New York at New England

When Tom Brady went down with his sore shoulder after getting pummeld last week, coach Belichick must have had his stomach churning. But, the reports are he is fine and threw balls 25 yards early this week. It is unlikely that he will play, but in week four most starting QB's, if they make it onto the field, it is usually just for a cameo anyway so the oddsmakers certainly have over-reacted here with the line. The Giants are going to take long looks at Andre Woodson and Rhett Bomar to fill the third QB spot, so there is no advantage there. Home underdogs in week four have a good pedigree and coach Belichick's teams have a winning record in week four, so no gimmie here for the Giants. The G-Men are just 15-32 ATS in their last 47 preseason games vs. AFC opponents. They are also 9-22 ATS in their last 31 games in the final two weeks of the preseason. I'll take New England and the points here.