A tale of two opposites. Hats off to Minnesota for beating a good Bronco’s team last week to remain undefeated. Minnesota is finding ways to win games and cover the spread-period. They are 6-0 in both categories. The G-Men are struggling in many ways. Their offense is 24th in the league and they can’t hang on to the football. They’re reeling from three straight losses and I see no reason why that will change this week. Last week’s loss was a doozy against a division rival whom they had down the whole game. New York dominated in just about every stat including yardage, time of possession and first downs but lost on an 84-yard punt return with a minute to play. Losing that game in that way doesn’t help the psyche of a team that was already down and doubting themselves. It doesn’t motivate. It deflates. What we have here is a home team on a confidence high and another that wants to bury their heads in the sand. Home teams on a sustained SU and ATS winning streaks cover about two thirds of the time. My lone favorite pick of the week is an easy one.
This pick was released to clients on August 14, 2012 at 10:20PM ET.
NFL
New York at Minnesota
October 26, 2003
1:00 PM Eastern
4 units on Minnesota -5.5 (-110) (risk 4 to return 7.64)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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