New York at Green Bay

Buy low, sell high. As the public lines up on them, I think it's time to sell the Packers. It's no secret how the New York Giants got here: DE-FENSE. They loaded up on defensive free agents in the offseason and they've clicked, finishing third in the NFL against the run, and second in points allowed (17.8 points per game). How did they close out the season? By allowing just 11.8 points per game and that included games vs. two playoff teams in Dallas and Detroit). Green Bay allowed 25.5 per game over their last three games. The Giants offense also has some things going for it. I am not a huge Eli Manning fan, but the kid is a perfect 7-0 ATS on the road in the playoffs in his career. The Giants are on an 8-3-1 ATS run, as well as 12-4 UNDER the total for the season. New York is also 43-18-2 ATS after getting more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. That great defense will come in handy in ice cold Lambeau Field. They can stuff the run and get after the passer, which is key against a QB like Aaron Rodgers. Green Bay likes balance on offense, which chews up yards and the clock. The Packers are on a 10-4 run UNDER the total at home and 14-6 UNDER after getting 150+ yards rushing the previous game. Look for a close, defensive duel and grab the dog in a low-scoring ice-bowl tilt. The Giants might wint his, and I think they at least keep it close. Play the Giants and the UNDER the total.