This pick was released to clients on October 16, 2014 at 7:08PM ET.
img NFL

New York at Dallas

October 19, 2014
img4:25 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Dallas Cowboys defense ranks just #15 in yards allowed per game, but they are a top 10 team when it comes to fewest points allowed. The Giants went from scoring 30 against Atlanta to getting shutout by Philadelphia - a team that gave up 26 points or more in their four previous games. The Giants have now scored 14 or fewer points in half their games on the season, and right now the Dallas defense has shown a lot of improvement from what we saw last season and the beginning of this season. The offense has gone from a pass-happy attack to one that puts it on the ground more than it throws. Why not? DeMarco Murray has ground out nearly 800 yards already at 5 yards per carry. It keeps the Dallas defense off the field, which has made them a better defense unit overall. It also keeps the clock running and shortens the game.The Giants come into this one at 10-2 to the UNDER on the road vs. a team with a winning home record in their last 12, and have had too many empty offensive games over the last year and part of this year vs. winning teams to trust them to score here. Under Tom Caughlin, the Giants are 27-12 UNDER in games with a total set higher than 45. The G-Men are also 10-1 UNDER vs. winning teams the past three seasons. Make that 11-1 after this game. Take the UNDER.

1 unit on Game Total UNDER 48 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
New York Giants
0
14
0
7
21
Dallas Cowboys img
7
7
7
10
31
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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