New York at Dallas

Two weeks ago the New York Giants were humiliated on Monday night by the Saints. They came back and played their hearts out last week before Aaron Rodgers did his thing again. With 50 seconds left he mastered a last-minute drive to beat the Giants by 3. The Cowboys are the NFC's version of the San Diego Chargers - loaded with talent, but every game is a challenge for them. They lost at Arizona last week when they scored just 13 points and they needed a last second field goal to beat Miami at home that gave them 20 points. They also needed overtime to beat Washington. Three bad teams and they are lucky that they didn't go 0-3. They have played seven games this season decided by 4 points or less, and another that was decided in overtime as they continue to struggle to put teams away. Yes the offense exploded vs. Buffalo and St. Louis, but for the most part has underachieved. The Giants have a way for playing well on the road vs. good teams at 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 vs. a winning team. The Cowboys are solid as an underdog but when laying points they are disasterous, going 3-14 ATS the past two seasons as chalk. Over that same span, they are just 5-14 ATS vs. conference opponents.  A sure sign of trouble for Dallas is rushing for 90 yards or fewer in their previous game. The Cowboys have gone UNDER in six of their last eight games as their offense continues to underdeliver. The Giants are 5-2 to the UNDER in their last seven division games and under Tom Coughlin, New York is 14-5 UNDER on the road in games with a high total (over 45). New York is also 23-8 UNDER in their last 31 road games when coming off back-to-back OVERs. In a game that seems destined to be decided by a field goal, I'll take the points and back the Giants and the UNDER.