The New Orleans Saints are in the playoffs, so I'm not sure how much they want to risk as they travel to Tampa Bay to take on the Buccaneers. Through during the Drew Brees era, New Orleans has always scored a lot of points at home, averaging 30.7 points per game at home, but just 25 points per game on the road, so almost a TD less. What most haven't realized is how much the defense has improved as the season has progressed. The Saints have allowed just 17.9 points per game in their last 10. The Bucs were expected to be a playoff team this season, but the offense did not progress under Jameis Winston. The Bucs averaged 24.2 points per game through five games, and just 15.9 per game since. This is a high total, and I expect New Orleans is going to put the ball on the ground to rely on their now improved defense, shorten the game, and get ready for the playoffs. This one stays UNDER.
This pick was released to clients on December 29, 2023 at 10:25AM ET.
NFL
New Orleans at Tampa Bay
December 31, 2017
4:25 PM Eastern
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 50 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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