New Orleans at New York

It looked like the struggling Giants were about to flip the switch after crushing Green Bay two games ago. But, last week they stumbled once again in Washington and have now lost three of their last four. Their lead in the NFC East is down to just one game. After a horrible start, the Saints have gotten to 5-7, and have to run the table to have a shot at the playoffs. As long as they have Drew Brees at the helm, they are certainly capable. They managed a 2-2 stretch in their last four despite two vs. Atlanta and another vs. San Francisco. Eli Manning is down 1 full yard per attempt this season. He had a big game vs. the Packers, but has thrown just three TD passes in the other six games over the last seven weeks. Drew Brees has tossed multiple TD passes in 10 games on the season and the Saints will come to play this week. The Saints are now 20-9 ATS in their last 29 after a loss and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs. a winning team. They are also 11-3 ATS since last season vs. bad pass defenses (those allowing 61%+ completions) and 10-2 ATS vs. teams like New York that allow 350+ yards per game. The Giants are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven vs. a losing team. The points loom large here. Take New Orleans.