This pick was released to clients on January 10, 2018 at 1:17PM ET.
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New Orleans at Minnesota

January 14, 2018
img4:40 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Minnesota Vikings have overcome a lot of obstacles, suffering many injuries at key positions, particularly at QB. Case Keenum, an unlikely success, came to the rescue by putting together a career best season. Couple that with an elite defense, and the Vikings look to be a strong possibility to become the first ever team to play a Super Bowl in their home stadium. Certainly, the Vikings are aware of that and have a bit more incentive to win. The Vikings have scored 23 points or more in seven of eight home games. When you match those numbers with a defense that has held all eight home opponents to fewer than 20 points, you have a strong winning resume. This defense is absolutely stifling, allowing just 12.5 points per game in this building this season. And, it's peaking at the right time. The Vikings have allowed just 17 total points in their last three games! The Vikings already beat New Orleans in Minnesota, and the best approach to beat New Orleans is to keep their offense off the field, as the Vikings limited them to a ridiculous 40 total plays. Drew Brees has been historic this season but the Saints' offense is not as good on the road wherre it has not topped 24 points in their last three, while going for 30+ in six-of-eight at home. Under Mike Zimmer, the Vikings are 19-3 straight-up at home as a favorite. The Vikings have the defense to move on in a close one, so play Minnesota on the moneyline.

1 unit on Minnesota -200 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 1.5)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
New Orleans Saints
0
0
7
17
24
Minnesota Vikings img
10
7
0
12
29
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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