New Orleans at Las Vegas

The Saints have started the preseason 2-0 while the Oakland Raiders will enter this one at 1-1. Both these teams have been able to score points thus far (27.5 per game for the Saints and 25.5 per game for the Raiders). But, the key to the Saints season won't be the offense. That has never been a question mark. The defense is the question. I expect the Saints to really put a focus on defense in this one. The Raiders were bad on both sides of the ball a year ago. I think after giving up 29 or more points six times a year ago, they will look to be more aggressive on defense, with starters getting the bulk of the minutes as they want to see where they stand. This is a rather high total set for an NFL preseason game. When the numbers reach this level, it has shown a winning rate of 63% in certain conditions, which are present for this one. While all signs point to an OVER, I like this one to go UNDER the total.