New Orleans at Indianapolis

The New Orleans defense is wearing down allowing 51 points in the last two games. They lost both as a favorite each time, coming off a 31-24 defeat at home to Jacksonville. The Saints are 15th in red zone defense (52.63%). Indianapolis has a losing record despite scoring 20 or more points in every game. The defense just allowed 39 points to Cleveland to drop to 21st in yards surrendered, 23rd in red zone defense (61.90%), and 30th in points allowed (27.3 per game). The Colts are 75-50 OVER the total in October games, plus 56-36 OVER after a home loss. Take New Orleans/Indianapolis OVER the total.