New Orleans at Chicago

Both of these teams have been major disappointments at 5-8. The difference here is that New Orleans still has something to play for as they share the top record in the lowly NFC South and still have a chance to host a playoff game. The Saints’ legendary home-field advantage has disappeared this season, so getting out of town might be just what the doctor ordered. Also, facing the struggling Bears with their error-prone QB should help. Jay Cutler has always been turnover-prone, and this season he is personally responsible for 21 turnovers already! Meanwhile, Drew Brees (who has not been the problem in New Orleans) remains a top five quarterback this season and should feast against a Bears defense that has allowed a league-worst 29.1 points per game. While these defenses are similar, The Saints offense is measurably better (scoring 26.8 per game on the road vs. 20.2 per game for Chicago at home). And the Bears have really struggled of late vs. good passing QBs. Over the past three seasons, they are just 3-12 ATS vs. teams like New Orleans that average 7+ yards per pass attempt. Take the Saints.