This pick was released to clients on January 27, 2015 at 4:51PM ET.
img NFL

New England vs. Seattle

February 1, 2015
img6:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

It's the Super Bowl. The two teams that made it here are deserving and great. They are probably at least relatively evenly matched. If you asked 10 of your friends whether one of the two teams will score three straight times without the other team scoring, probably eight of them would say "no way!" Your gut tells you that one team scoring back-to-back-to-back unanswered just isn't likely to happen. That's why most people bet the NO on this prop. it's also why the oddsmakers end up shading the line. They likely know that they are offering great odds on the YES bet but since most of their action is on the other side, they are ok with it. That leaves a great opportunity for us to take advantage. The reality is that in 48 Super Bowls, there have been 35 games in which one or both of the teams scored three straight times unanswered during the game. That comes out to 72.9% of the time. Fair odds on a 73% bet are -270. So, getting -205 on this bet has value. Take the YES and look forward to winning this bet three out of every four times you place it.

1.5 units on Either Team Scores 3 Straight Unanswered = YES -205 (risk 1.5 to return 2.23)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
New England Patriots img
0
14
0
14
28
Seattle Seahawks
0
14
10
0
24
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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