When you think about the end of a football game, what comes to mind first? If you are like most people, you thought of the winning team taking a knee in victory formation, or running out the clock by running the ball. This can often take a long time, what seems like an eternity. So how likely is it that a team scores in the waning moments of a Super Bowl? Turns out it's quite often. In 52 Super Bowls, a team has scored in the final 3:30 of the game 32 times. That comes out to 61.5% of the time. Fair odds on that kind of bet are -160 which is right about where these odds are set. Good job Bookmaker's! But hold the presses. If we look deeper we find out that things have changed dramatically. Through Super Bowl 27, there were only 12 instances of this happening. But, in the last 25 years, it has happened 20 times for an 80% win rate. Fair odds on a bet like that are -400. With these high-scoring teams, I'm all over that. Take the YES.
This pick was released to clients on January 29, 2019 at 4:21PM ET.
NFL
New England vs. Los Angeles
February 3, 2019
6:30 PM Eastern
1 unit on Longest Touchdown OVER 49.5 yards (+115) (risk 1 to return 3.15)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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