New England vs. Los Angeles

Will there be a huge game-breaker play in this game? Will one team score a long touchdown of 50 or more yards? There are no elite defenses in this game this year, so maybe we will! The stats back up this notion. Over the first 52 Super Bowls, a team has scored a 45+ yard touchdown 32 times (62% of the time). And, the games that didn't have a long touchdown were front-loaded in the early years. In the first 20 Super Bowls, eight of the games saw the longest touchdown remain under 45 yards. But in the last 32 Super Bowls, only 12 games have failed to produce a touchdown of 45+ yards. That's just 38% of the time. Now, this total is set higher at 49.5 yards, but for good reason given these two offenses. I estimet that we can expect roughly a 60% chance of winning this bet, while getting about even odds. Take the OVER on this prop bet.