New England at Pittsburgh

The New England Patriots have had one heck of a schedule through the first half of the year. They had three straight games vs. Baltimore, San Diego and Minnesota (all wins by the way), an a game vs. Cleveland. They took the Browns (a decent team) to lightly and were complete no-shows. You can bet Bellichick was fired up after that loss and this team will respond this week. They now have Pittsburgh and Indianapolis on deck. Every game is important. It's easy to see how they had nothing to offer for the Browns game, but all that does is serve up a few extra points to the line. Brady and Belichick are a lethal combo when underrated as they are 13-5-1 ATS as a dog.  They have won 12 of the 13 outright! More importantly they are a menacingly impossible team to deal with after scoring 20 or less in their last game. Seldom do the Pats stumble two straight weeks. They are 20-3 straight up and 19-4 ATS after scoring 20 or less last game. Pittsburgh, for as good as their defense is, has been outgained from the line of scrimmage on the season by their opponents. They are the Steel curtain against the run, but teams are lighting up their secondary for 248 yards per game. Who better than Tom Brady to exploit that weakness. After a double-digit loss, the Belichick-led Pats are 15-6 ATS. I like New England here.