New England at Philadelphia

The New England Patriots have gone 2-2 in their last four games. Their offense was unstoppable in their first five games, scoring 30+ points per game. Since then, this team has dropped over a TD per game in productivity. Despite the 34 vs. Kansas City last week the offense just doesn't look quite right. It took over a quarter vs. a shaky Chiefs’ secondary to make anything happen last week, and the points were more a product of three INTs thrown by Tyler Palko than the Patriots’ offense. The Eagles won a big game as a dog last week, and if they have any playoffs chance at all, this is a huge game because the schedule gets easier. They are playing with absolutely nothing to lose at this point and I think they'll be loose here. Tom Brady is having a good, but not great year and could end up with more INTs than he has thrown since his 14 in 2005, amassing 10 picks already. The Eagles will run the ball here as they don't want to get in a shootout with the Pats with Vince Young at QB. New England has followed a Monday nighter with a 10-4 mark to the UNDER if playing on Sunday the next week, and Philly is now 7-2 to the UNDER in their last nine on the grass. I like Philadelphia and the UNDER here.