New England at New York

There was a lot to take in after watching the Patriots last week. Through nearly the entire game, the Bills beat them on both sides of the ball. Tom Brady looked very rusty for most of the game, uncharacteristically thowing off-target. Yet, the Pats found a way to win thanks to Brady brilliance in his final two drives. So which Brady, and which Pats team will show up here? Will it be the one that was soundly beaten for 3.75 quarters last week by an inferior team? Or will it be the team that found a way to win in the end? My guess is it will be something in-between. And, that may not be good enough against an inspired, motivated and talented Jets team that is coming into this one fired up and full of confidence. The Jets seem to have a star QB in the making in Sanchez, as he coolly converted 10 of 18 on third down. With Flacco and Ryan last year, and Sanchez this year, you can soundly throw out the notion that rookie QBs can't win and cover spreads in the NFL. The Patriots had trouble containing the run last week as they appear to miss Bruschi and Seymour. With Leon Washington and Thomas Jones toting, the Jets should be able to move the chains here. The bloom has come off the rose some for the Pats who are now 5-12 ATS after a straight up win, and the Jets find themselves covering a lot after holding an opponent to less than 150 passing yards as they follow that with a 22-9 ATS mark in their next game. These teams are much closer in talent than they have been for a long time. To get over a field goal on the home team is quite a gift as this is simply a reputation line. I'll take the Jets at home as a very live dog.