New England at New York

The Patriots have enjoyed as much success as anyone in recent years. But, they have had a lot of nightmares at MetLife, as they have dropped three of the last four meetings in New Jersey as a favorite. Three of the last four New England wins have come by 3 points or less as the Pats offense hasn't lived up to expectations. New England has scored fewer than 20 points in a game just 23 times since the start of the 2008 season, covering 119 games, but have failed to do so here in three of their last six trips to the Big Apple. I think the total is over-done in this one because this has been a tough out for the Pats for several years running. It seems the Jets, good or bad, save their best "A" game for the Patriots. The good news for New England is that their defense is playing very well, sepecially in games on turf this season where they have given up just 16.2 points per game. With New York's offense, I expect even less than that. The Jets have played to a 5-0 mark to the UNDER in their last five vs. the AFC. New York plays them tough, so take the UNDER.